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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Chuba Hubbard's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 86th percentile for RBs.
  • Chuba Hubbard grades out in the 95th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.18 per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • Chuba Hubbard has received 72.9% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Chuba Hubbard has put up a paltry -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Chuba Hubbard's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 83.0% to 80.0%.

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