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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-355).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +335 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 10.5% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his offense's run game near the end zone in this week's contest (39.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (29.8% in games he has played).
  • Chuba Hubbard has compiled a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has allowed a meager 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

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