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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 11.1% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.21 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Chuba Hubbard rates among the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In regards to air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the measly 17th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

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