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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-720).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -710 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -720.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.8% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • With a fantastic ratio of 0.22 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Chuba Hubbard ranks among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been given 36.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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