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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers as the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • This year, the anemic New York Jets run defense has been torched for a monstrous 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 10th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • While Chuba Hubbard has accounted for 54.5% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Carolina's ground game this week at 34.1%.
  • Chuba Hubbard has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
  • Chuba Hubbard checks in as one of the weakest RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
  • The New York defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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