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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.8% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in football (132 per game) against the Saints defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been a much smaller part of his offense's running game this season (37.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (71.1%).
  • Chuba Hubbard has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (80.0).
  • Chuba Hubbard's running effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.79 figure last year.
  • Chuba Hubbard's 2.46 yards-after-contact this year marks a material drop-off in his running prowess over last year's 3.46 mark.

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