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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-139/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been less involved as a potential target this year (41.6% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.6%).
  • Chuba Hubbard's receiving skills have declined this season, totaling a measly 1.8 adjusted catches compared to 2.9 last season.
  • The Rams pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) to RBs this year (78.1%).

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