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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Carolina offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 90.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the highest rate in the NFL.
  • The Buccaneers linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been used less as a potential target this season (42.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (60.6%).
  • Chuba Hubbard's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this year shows a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 2.9 mark.

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