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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to accumulate 3.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • This year, the feeble Saints pass defense has surrendered a massive 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (43.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (60.6%).
  • Chuba Hubbard's receiving talent has declined this season, notching a measly 1.9 adjusted receptions compared to 2.9 last season.
  • Chuba Hubbard's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 82.8% to 79.6%.

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