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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.8%) versus running backs this year (86.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (48.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (60.6%).
  • Chuba Hubbard's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this season marks a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 2.9 rate.

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