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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • Chuba Hubbard has run a route on 55.3% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Chuba Hubbard has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Chuba Hubbard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 5.7% figure.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) vs. running backs this year.

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