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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Chuba Hubbard's receiving efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 7.15 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 3.48 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Chuba Hubbard has been used less as a potential target this season (42.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (60.6%).
  • Chuba Hubbard has compiled a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Chuba Hubbard's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.7% mark.

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