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Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-136/+115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.Chuba Hubbard's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a material boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.5 figure.This year, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a massive 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-worst in the league.This year, the poor Buccaneers defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a massive 9.77 yards.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Chuba Hubbard has been used less as a potential target this year (43.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.6%).In regards to air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the measly 17th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.Chuba Hubbard's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.70 rate last year.
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