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Christian Watson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Christian Watson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -330.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.

The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Christian Watson to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (19.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.0% in games he has played).

After totaling 63.0 air yards per game last year, Christian Watson has been rising this year, currently boasting 100.0 per game.

Christian Watson's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 38.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have been the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.9% red zone run rate.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

More Christian Watson Player Props

Christian Watson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Christian Watson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17