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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian Watson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Our trusted projections expect Christian Watson to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (17.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).
  • Christian Watson has posted quite a few more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).
  • Christian Watson's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson ranks in the 93rd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • With a 53.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Chicago's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

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