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Christian Watson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Christian Watson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -290.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.

Christian Watson has notched a whopping 67.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wide receivers.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers rank as the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.1% red zone run rate.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to call only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Christian Watson has been been lightly used his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 0th percentile among wideouts.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Eagles defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Eagles defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest receiving TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

More Christian Watson Player Props

Christian Watson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Christian Watson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10