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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the daunting Panthers defense has surrendered a meager 60.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

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