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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.8%) vs. WRs this year (69.8%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Christian Watson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense in this week's contest (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.0% in games he has played).
  • With a weak 59.9% Adjusted Catch% (22nd percentile) last year, Christian Watson has been among the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.

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