My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Christian Watson's 54.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 2.2 mark.
  • Christian Watson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 59.9% to 65.2%.
  • This year, the porous Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™