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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • The model projects Christian Watson to garner 6.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
  • Christian Watson's 56.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's receiving talent has gotten better this season, accumulating 3.6 adjusted catches compared to a mere 2.2 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.4%) versus wide receivers this year (62.4%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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