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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Christian Watson's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, totaling 3.5 adjusted receptions vs just 2.2 last year.
  • The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.2%) to WRs this year (67.2%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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