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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

Christian Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Christian Watson has been more prominently utilized in his team's passing game.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).

Christian Watson's 44.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last year's 65.3% rate.

The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.5%) versus wide receivers this year (56.5%).

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