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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In regards to air yards, Christian Watson ranks in the lofty 79th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 64.0 per game.
  • Christian Watson comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 11.63 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
  • Christian Watson has been one of the leading wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
  • As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13-point advantage, the Packers are overwhelmingly favored in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the tough Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a puny 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-best in the league.

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