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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • Christian Watson has posted a colossal 63.0 air yards per game last year: 78th percentile among wideouts.
  • Christian Watson rates as one of the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a remarkable 10.91 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a remarkable 5.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (87th percentile) last year, Christian Watson ranks among the best WRs in the game in football in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Christian Watson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense in this week's contest (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.0% in games he has played).
  • With a weak 59.9% Adjusted Catch% (22nd percentile) last year, Christian Watson has been among the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.

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