My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Christian Watson has totaled far more air yards this year (104.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).
  • Christian Watson's 54.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's 57.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 40.0 figure.
  • Christian Watson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 59.9% to 65.2%.
  • With an excellent 10.5 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) this year, Christian Watson rates as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.1% figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™