reorder

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-108/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects Christian Watson to garner 6.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

Christian Watson has put up far more air yards this season (101.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).

Christian Watson's 56.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 38.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.

Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteable drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.1% figure.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.4%) versus wide receivers this year (62.4%).

This year, the imposing Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a paltry 6.8 yards.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

More Christian Watson Player Props

Christian Watson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15