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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Christian Watson has posted quite a few more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).
  • Christian Watson's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's 56.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a significant growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 40.0 figure.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) to wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Christian Watson's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, averaging just 9.91 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.91 figure last season.
  • Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a substantial regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.1% mark.

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