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Christian Watson

Christian Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Christian Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After averaging 63.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Watson has made big progress this season, now sitting at 100.0 per game.
  • Christian Watson's 47.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 38.5.
  • Christian Watson's 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a noteable gain in his receiving ability over last season's 40.0 mark.
  • Christian Watson's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 59.9% to 72.9%.
  • Christian Watson's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, notching 13.83 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 10.91 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
  • Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 5.1% mark.

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