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Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-186/+166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -186.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mac Jones.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).

The Giants defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.

When it comes to air yards, Christian McCaffrey grades out in the lofty 100th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a massive 23.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 45.7% red zone run rate.

While Christian McCaffrey has garnered 33.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in San Francisco's pass game near the goal line this week at 26.5%.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

With a stellar rate of 0.33 rushing touchdowns per game (79th percentile), Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in football this year.

This year, the anemic Giants run defense has conceded a colossal 1.25 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

Christian McCaffrey TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9