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Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +148 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup quarterback Mac Jones.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.

The model projects the 49ers as the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

The 49ers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 64.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy team in football in the red zone (45.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the 49ers.

The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest (26.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (32.1% in games he has played).

The Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

Christian McCaffrey TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6