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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With a high 26.9% Red Zone Target% (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Christian McCaffrey has put up a colossal 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Christian McCaffrey's 41.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 33.9.
  • Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.9% to 84.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • With an excellent ratio of 0.53 rushing touchdowns per game (92nd percentile), Christian McCaffrey places among the best rushing TD-scorers in football this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of DTs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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