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With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (24.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.0% in games he has played).Christian McCaffrey has rushed for 0.57 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football among RBs (93rd percentile).
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