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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-265/+225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -325 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to air yards, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the lofty 100th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 22.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Christian McCaffrey's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 33.9.
  • With a remarkable rate of 0.42 per game through the air (100th percentile), Christian McCaffrey stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • While Christian McCaffrey has accounted for 30.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in San Francisco's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 23.9%.
  • Christian McCaffrey has run for 0.50 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football when it comes to RBs (89th percentile).

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