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Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).In this game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.8 carries.After comprising 58.1% of his team's rush attempts last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, now taking on 68.9%.Christian McCaffrey has grinded out 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (88th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 39.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.Christian McCaffrey's running effectiveness (3.71 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (24th percentile among RBs).
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