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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+100/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.7 carries.

Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this season (69.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.1%).

Christian McCaffrey has averaged 47.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to running backs (81st percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a terrible rate of 3.38 adjusted yards per carry (20th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands among the worst running backs in the league at the position.

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