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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to garner 16.5 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 61.4% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

With an exceptional rate of 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (82nd percentile), Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the best pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Arizona's collection of DTs has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

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