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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • In this week's contest, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 18.1 rush attempts.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (68.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • Christian McCaffrey has averaged 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • This year, the imposing Chicago Bears run defense has surrendered a meager 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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