reorder

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 62.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to earn 16.3 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

Christian McCaffrey has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (68.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).

Christian McCaffrey has grinded out 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 42.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 3.91 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

Christian McCaffrey Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16