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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.6 carries.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (69.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • Christian McCaffrey has generated 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (89th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Christian McCaffrey's ground efficiency (3.77 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (24th percentile among running backs).
  • With a terrible rate of 2.47 yards after contact (10th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the least powerful running backs in the league.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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