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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to run on 48.6% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 20.3 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the worst running backs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.46 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.
  • This year, the porous Browns run defense has yielded a whopping 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 28th-highest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's DE corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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