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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 73.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The model projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 17.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (69.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Christian McCaffrey's rushing efficiency (3.59 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (12th percentile among RBs).
  • Christian McCaffrey comes in as one of the weakest running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.39 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
  • The Arizona defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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