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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric team in football (41.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.

In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.7 carries.

Among all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 94th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 64.9% of the workload in his offense's run game.

The 49ers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Vikings defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's unit has been very good this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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