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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route% this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing offense volume over last season's 68.1% figure.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 7.5 targets.
  • With a terrific 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands among the top pass-catching RBs in the league.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 84.4% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 80.8% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.4%) to running backs this year (75.4%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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