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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-144/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 80.6% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a meaningful growth in his passing offense volume over last year's 68.1% mark.
  • In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 8.3 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a terrific 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.
  • Christian McCaffrey's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.9% to 84.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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