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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.1% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his air attack volume over last season's 68.1% mark.
  • Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Christian McCaffrey is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 5.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.
  • Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.9% to 84.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

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