My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route Participation% this year illustrates an impressive boost in his passing attack volume over last year's 68.1% rate.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to finish in the 99th percentile among RBs with 6.8 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 6.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.
  • Christian McCaffrey's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.7% to 85.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Tennessee's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™