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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route Participation Rate this year shows a noteworthy gain in his pass attack usage over last year's 68.1% mark.
  • In this game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the model to slot into the 98th percentile among RBs with 6.7 targets.
  • With an outstanding 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey rates among the leading RB receiving threats in the NFL.
  • Christian McCaffrey's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.8% to 84.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.

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