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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 68.1% Route% (100th percentile) last year, Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to place in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 55.7 plays per game.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.7%) to running backs last year (79.7%).
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled last year, ranking as the 10th-best in football.

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