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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • Christian McCaffrey has gone out for more passes this season (80.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (68.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Christian McCaffrey's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.53 figure last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 17.0) vs. running backs this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the fierce Falcons defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a measly 5.2 yards.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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