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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-102/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ +101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Christian McCaffrey's 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.8% figure.

Christian McCaffrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his effectiveness in space over last season's 6.5% figure.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 16.0) versus RBs this year.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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